Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat São Caetano with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 24.9% | 40.4% | +15.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 46.3% | 59.0% | +12.7 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 60.0% | 72.0% | +12.0 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 25.0% | 14.4% | −10.5 |
| Santos | Champion | 29.6% | 20.4% | −9.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 20.2% | 28.8% | +8.6 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 54.0% | 45.5% | −8.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 18.4% | 26.8% | +8.4 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 79.9% | 87.3% | +7.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 42.5% | 35.1% | −7.4 |
