Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
13 matches played out of 13: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Grêmio with a 21.4% chance and Figueirense beat Flamengo with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 22 (before the first match) against those on July 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Sudamericana | 15.3% | 49.2% | +33.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 54.6% | 88.4% | +33.7 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 51.8% | 18.5% | −33.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 13.3% | 46.2% | +33.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 58.3% | 87.5% | +29.2 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 34.0% | 7.5% | −26.5 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 21.7% | 45.1% | +23.4 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 4.9% | 28.3% | +23.3 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 26.7% | 3.7% | −23.1 |
| Criciúma | Libertadores | 3.7% | 26.7% | +23.0 |
