Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Brentford with a 10.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 18 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 47.9% | 30.4% | −17.6 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 44.2% | 54.7% | +10.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 15.6% | 23.7% | +8.1 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 26.3% | 33.2% | +6.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 63.1% | 56.6% | −6.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 46.3% | 52.5% | +6.3 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 14.5% | 8.7% | −5.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 15.6% | 10.3% | −5.3 |
| Brentford | Champions League | 7.0% | 2.5% | −4.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 52.5% | 48.1% | −4.4 |
