Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Nottingham beat Chelsea with a 13.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on September 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 42.3% | 29.4% | −12.9 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 21.6% | 11.5% | −10.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 22.9% | 13.1% | −9.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 48.8% | 58.6% | +9.9 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 53.4% | 61.8% | +8.3 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 22.2% | 13.9% | −8.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 52.2% | 60.2% | +8.0 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 29.7% | 37.3% | +7.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 42.7% | 50.1% | +7.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 75.5% | 82.2% | +6.7 |
