Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 46.0% | 29.7% | −16.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 29.6% | 18.9% | −10.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 32.8% | 42.7% | +9.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 32.2% | 22.9% | −9.3 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 12.5% | 20.7% | +8.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 60.1% | 52.2% | −7.8 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 46.2% | 53.1% | +6.9 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 46.7% | 53.4% | +6.8 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 28.5% | 34.8% | +6.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 42.4% | 48.8% | +6.3 |
