Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 15 (before the first match) against those on May 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Conference League | 8.4% | 84.6% | +76.3 |
| Newcastle | Conference League | 46.3% | 7.7% | −38.7 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 37.9% | <0.1% | −37.9 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 64.3% | >99.9% | +35.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 68.9% | 100% | +31.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 30.9% | 0% | −30.9 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 30.0% | 0% | −30.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 64.8% | 92.3% | +27.6 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 25.9% | <0.1% | −25.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 54.7% | 78.0% | +23.3 |