Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 5 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 18 (before the first match) against those on March 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champion | 41.5% | 52.4% | +10.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 37.7% | 47.9% | +10.2 |
| Newcastle | Conference League | 11.2% | 20.8% | +9.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 45.8% | 55.1% | +9.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 25.7% | 17.4% | −8.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 50.6% | 44.1% | −6.5 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 43.8% | 49.2% | +5.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 12.6% | 7.8% | −4.8 |
| Aston Villa | Conference League | 9.1% | 4.4% | −4.7 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 59.9% | 64.6% | +4.6 |