Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Brentford with a 22.9% chance, Bournemouth beat Wolverhampton with a 24.4% chance, and Everton beat Liverpool with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 13 (before the first match) against those on April 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Europa League | 32.1% | 76.1% | +43.9 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 37.6% | 78.1% | +40.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 61.0% | 21.9% | −39.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 40.9% | 2.9% | −38.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 26.5% | 59.9% | +33.4 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 50.0% | 21.8% | −28.2 |
| Newcastle | Conference League | 12.0% | 32.4% | +20.4 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 45.4% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 18.4% | 28.1% | +9.7 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 11.1% | 1.5% | −9.6 |
