Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Arsenal with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 28 (before the first match) against those on January 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham | Relegation | 29.0% | 17.5% | −11.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 82.6% | 72.5% | −10.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 19.3% | 9.3% | −10.0 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 46.1% | 55.0% | +8.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 41.2% | 49.8% | +8.7 |
| Everton | Relegation | 15.6% | 22.3% | +6.6 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 41.3% | 47.8% | +6.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 12.9% | 6.5% | −6.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 61.6% | 67.0% | +5.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 9.3% | 14.3% | +5.0 |
