Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brentford beat Wolverhampton with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Relegation | 48.2% | 33.7% | −14.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 67.5% | 80.8% | +13.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 32.5% | 20.6% | −11.8 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 65.6% | 75.7% | +10.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 21.4% | 31.2% | +9.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 62.6% | 72.3% | +9.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 28.1% | 18.8% | −9.3 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 20.5% | 12.1% | −8.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 22.6% | 14.7% | −7.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 13.9% | 6.7% | −7.1 |
