Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Tottenham with a 21.7% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 29 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
TottenhamChampions League46.4%28.1%−18.2
Crystal PalaceRelegation27.1%12.3%−14.8
LiverpoolChampions League51.8%62.6%+10.8
ChelseaChampions League58.5%67.5%+9.0
Leicester CityChampions League24.4%15.9%−8.5
WolverhamptonRelegation16.6%8.4%−8.2
WatfordRelegation40.1%48.2%+8.1
Manchester UnitedChampions League61.1%68.7%+7.6
NewcastleRelegation23.0%30.3%+7.2
West HamChampions League30.3%23.3%−7.0
Home 21.7%
Draw 23.0%
Away 55.4%
Home 74.8%
Draw 17.1%
Away 8.1%
Home 42.8%
Draw 27.2%
Away 30.0%
Home 31.9%
Draw 28.2%
Away 39.8%
Home 73.8%
Draw 17.4%
Away 8.8%
Home 29.6%
Draw 27.0%
Away 43.4%
Home 29.6%
Draw 27.0%
Away 43.4%
Home 67.4%
Draw 19.3%
Away 13.3%
Home 21.3%
Draw 22.8%
Away 55.9%
Home 69.6%
Draw 18.6%
Away 11.8%