Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Leicester City with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 2 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champion | 42.2% | 14.1% | −28.2 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 57.8% | 85.9% | +28.2 |
| Everton | Relegation | 33.7% | 7.4% | −26.3 |
| West Ham | Conference League | 9.5% | 32.4% | +22.8 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 89.1% | 66.4% | −22.7 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 24.5% | 42.1% | +17.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 64.5% | 73.8% | +9.3 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 41.1% | 50.2% | +9.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 66.0% | 74.9% | +8.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 33.9% | 25.1% | −8.8 |
