Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Wolverhampton with a 21.2% chance and Everton beat Chelsea with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 28 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Conference League | 57.4% | 89.1% | +31.6 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 16.7% | 41.1% | +24.4 |
| West Ham | Conference League | 30.6% | 9.5% | −21.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 51.8% | 33.7% | −18.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 56.8% | 64.5% | +7.7 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 31.5% | 24.5% | −6.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Conference League | 7.2% | 0.4% | −6.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 59.8% | 66.0% | +6.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 40.2% | 34.6% | −5.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 38.6% | 33.9% | −4.7 |
