Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Southampton with a 22.2% chance and Watford beat Manchester United with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 7 (before the first match) against those on November 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Relegation | 41.2% | 26.5% | −14.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 31.6% | 20.9% | −10.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 75.8% | 85.7% | +9.9 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 21.1% | 13.8% | −7.3 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 84.1% | 90.1% | +6.0 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 21.5% | 27.3% | +5.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 28.0% | 22.2% | −5.7 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 80.4% | 74.8% | −5.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 44.1% | 49.5% | +5.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 8.2% | 13.1% | +4.9 |
