Round 11

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Brentford with a 11.3% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester UnitedChampions League44.5%31.6%−12.9
Manchester CityChampion14.9%26.3%+11.4
Manchester CityChampions League74.3%84.1%+9.7
West HamChampions League38.8%48.2%+9.4
Norwich CityRelegation88.1%80.4%−7.6
LiverpoolChampion24.2%17.3%−6.9
BrentfordRelegation13.9%19.9%+6.0
WatfordRelegation35.2%41.2%+6.0
LiverpoolChampions League81.7%75.8%−5.9
ArsenalChampions League22.4%28.0%+5.6
Home 48.4%
Draw 25.3%
Away 26.3%
Home 40.8%
Draw 27.9%
Away 31.3%
Home 70.3%
Draw 18.4%
Away 11.3%
Home 77.3%
Draw 16.4%
Away 6.3%
Home 38.4%
Draw 28.8%
Away 32.9%
Home 57.0%
Draw 22.5%
Away 20.5%
Home 70.1%
Draw 18.5%
Away 11.4%
Home 48.3%
Draw 25.3%
Away 26.4%
Home 31.7%
Draw 28.1%
Away 40.1%
Home 33.9%
Draw 29.4%
Away 36.7%