Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Aston Villa with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 47.0% | 33.5% | −13.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 51.7% | 62.8% | +11.1 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 56.2% | 45.3% | −10.9 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 37.7% | 27.8% | −10.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 69.7% | 79.3% | +9.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 57.8% | 67.4% | +9.6 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 22.8% | 13.8% | −8.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 25.2% | 33.9% | +8.7 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 53.3% | 61.5% | +8.2 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 17.6% | 9.8% | −7.8 |
