Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Crystal Palace with a 24.5% chance, Leeds United beat Everton with a 15.9% chance, and Fulham beat Leicester City with a 6.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 23 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 33.5% | 46.7% | +13.2 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 45.3% | 33.2% | −12.1 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 72.3% | 61.0% | −11.3 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 27.8% | 38.6% | +10.9 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 61.5% | 71.5% | +10.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 26.4% | 34.6% | +8.2 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 17.1% | 24.3% | +7.2 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 21.9% | 15.3% | −6.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 78.8% | 72.9% | −5.9 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 17.1% | 11.7% | −5.4 |
