Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Chelsea with a 6.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 21 (before the first match) against those on April 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 58.2% | 32.5% | −25.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 11.3% | 29.6% | +18.3 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 13.7% | 29.8% | +16.1 |
| Chelsea | Conference League | 11.6% | 20.2% | +8.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 68.6% | 77.0% | +8.4 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 87.0% | 80.4% | −6.6 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 26.9% | 20.7% | −6.2 |
| Arsenal | Conference League | 7.9% | 2.9% | −5.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 17.6% | 22.3% | +4.7 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 22.7% | 18.4% | −4.2 |
