Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield United beat Aston Villa with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Relegation | 58.8% | 94.3% | +35.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 82.0% | >99.9% | +18.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 19.2% | 1.5% | −17.7 |
| Everton | Champions League | 18.6% | 2.0% | −16.6 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 13.5% | 0.8% | −12.6 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 19.4% | 31.3% | +11.9 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 13.3% | 22.9% | +9.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 9.0% | 0.1% | −9.0 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 11.9% | 20.5% | +8.7 |
| Aston Villa | Conference League | 9.4% | 0.9% | −8.5 |
