Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Liverpool with a 11.1% chance and Manchester United beat Manchester City with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 4 (before the first match) against those on March 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Relegation | 65.6% | 45.9% | −19.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 21.8% | 6.3% | −15.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 24.3% | 12.8% | −11.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 11.7% | 21.9% | +10.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 80.1% | 89.4% | +9.3 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 69.7% | 77.2% | +7.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 56.0% | 62.4% | +6.4 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 17.0% | 23.3% | +6.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 15.4% | 10.0% | −5.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 13.1% | 18.4% | +5.3 |
