Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Arsenal beat Leicester City with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 23 (before the first match) against those on March 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 86.0% | 75.3% | −10.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 46.2% | 38.1% | −8.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 30.3% | 38.1% | +7.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 10.1% | 16.3% | +6.2 |
| Everton | Champions League | 14.2% | 18.6% | +4.4 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 9.1% | 13.5% | +4.4 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 23.6% | 19.4% | −4.2 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 16.0% | 11.9% | −4.1 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 6.8% | 10.5% | +3.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 5.5% | 9.0% | +3.5 |
