Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, no draws and 7 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Liverpool with a 11.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 31 (before the first match) against those on February 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champion | 20.5% | 7.6% | −13.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 84.8% | 71.8% | −12.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 30.8% | 18.4% | −12.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 69.4% | 80.3% | +10.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 58.6% | 68.2% | +9.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 20.8% | 28.5% | +7.7 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 52.7% | 60.1% | +7.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 13.5% | 6.4% | −7.2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 10.9% | 4.2% | −6.7 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 75.1% | 80.6% | +5.5 |
