Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Everton with a 18.6% chance and Leeds United beat Leicester City with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 28 (before the first match) against those on January 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 71.6% | 84.8% | +13.2 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 64.8% | 52.7% | −12.1 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 20.5% | 10.8% | −9.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 39.9% | 30.8% | −9.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 12.4% | 20.8% | +8.4 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 66.8% | 75.1% | +8.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 22.7% | 15.1% | −7.6 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 12.8% | 5.4% | −7.4 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 18.3% | 10.9% | −7.4 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 13.9% | 20.5% | +6.6 |
