Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Leicester City with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 13 (before the first match) against those on December 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 45.0% | 32.9% | −12.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 32.2% | 43.0% | +10.9 |
| Everton | Champions League | 9.8% | 18.9% | +9.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 38.6% | 46.9% | +8.3 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 19.4% | 11.2% | −8.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 78.0% | 85.3% | +7.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 58.6% | 51.9% | −6.6 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 10.1% | 4.9% | −5.2 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 8.1% | 13.1% | +5.1 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 80.8% | 85.8% | +5.0 |