Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Wolverhampton with a 19.9% chance and Burnley beat Arsenal with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 33.7% | 45.0% | +11.3 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 33.7% | 23.1% | −10.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 68.0% | 58.6% | −9.5 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 72.9% | 80.8% | +8.0 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 15.5% | 22.4% | +7.0 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 13.5% | 8.1% | −5.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 19.1% | 13.7% | −5.4 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 5.1% | 10.1% | +5.0 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 16.4% | 21.2% | +4.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 82.7% | 78.0% | −4.7 |
