Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Chelsea with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 12 (before the first match) against those on January 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 48.2% | 60.7% | +12.5 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 24.4% | 31.9% | +7.5 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 15.8% | 8.7% | −7.1 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 13.2% | 6.5% | −6.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 70.3% | 64.2% | −6.2 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 49.0% | 43.2% | −5.8 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 3.5% | 8.4% | +4.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 17.3% | 13.2% | −4.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 34.0% | 30.5% | −3.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 24.1% | 27.5% | +3.4 |
