Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Leicester City with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 2 (before the first match) against those on January 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Relegation | 48.4% | 29.2% | −19.2 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 36.5% | 48.2% | +11.7 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 50.2% | 59.7% | +9.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 62.0% | 70.3% | +8.3 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 42.6% | 49.0% | +6.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 12.9% | 6.8% | −6.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 9.6% | 4.0% | −5.7 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 28.8% | 24.1% | −4.7 |
| Sheffield United | Europa League | 12.3% | 16.6% | +4.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 38.2% | 34.0% | −4.2 |
