Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Manchester United with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 19 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 60.7% | 47.2% | −13.4 |
| Watford | Relegation | 30.5% | 42.6% | +12.1 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 59.0% | 48.5% | −10.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 15.8% | 24.4% | +8.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 19.4% | 11.6% | −7.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 30.5% | 37.8% | +7.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 13.5% | 20.5% | +7.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 8.7% | 3.3% | −5.3 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 4.3% | 9.5% | +5.1 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 43.2% | 38.2% | −5.0 |
