Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Burnley with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 29 (before the first match) against those on January 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 22.0% | 36.5% | +14.5 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 61.6% | 50.2% | −11.4 |
| Watford | Relegation | 58.1% | 48.4% | −9.7 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 10.7% | 18.6% | +7.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 18.7% | 12.0% | −6.7 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 8.8% | 15.1% | +6.3 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 6.2% | 12.0% | +5.9 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 14.5% | 9.6% | −4.9 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 92.7% | 97.3% | +4.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 20.8% | 16.2% | −4.6 |
