Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Manchester United with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 16 (before the first match) against those on January 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Relegation | 78.4% | 41.9% | −36.6 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 11.0% | 47.1% | +36.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 37.0% | 2.6% | −34.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 9.0% | 29.3% | +20.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 46.8% | 65.8% | +19.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.4% | 11.1% | −18.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 82.1% | 95.3% | +13.2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 7.5% | 20.5% | +13.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 18.3% | 29.2% | +10.9 |
| Everton | Relegation | 13.2% | 2.9% | −10.4 |
