Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Chelsea with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 9 (before the first match) against those on December 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 59.4% | 46.8% | −12.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 18.7% | 29.4% | +10.7 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 34.5% | 42.9% | +8.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 85.4% | 93.6% | +8.2 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 18.5% | 11.0% | −7.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 30.5% | 37.0% | +6.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 15.4% | 9.0% | −6.4 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 11.7% | 5.4% | −6.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 27.6% | 33.6% | +6.1 |
| Watford | Relegation | 72.7% | 78.4% | +5.8 |
