Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Chelsea with a 12.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 22 (before the first match) against those on December 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 64.0% | 47.8% | −16.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 25.2% | 13.8% | −11.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 17.5% | 25.5% | +8.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 8.6% | 16.3% | +7.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 26.0% | 32.7% | +6.7 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 6.4% | 13.0% | +6.6 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 9.9% | 15.5% | +5.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 56.4% | 51.0% | −5.4 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 86.4% | 91.6% | +5.2 |
| Everton | Relegation | 14.0% | 9.1% | −4.9 |
