Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Chelsea with a 22.9% chance and Manchester United beat Manchester City with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 5 (before the first match) against those on December 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 73.9% | 59.4% | −14.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 27.3% | 14.6% | −12.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 18.9% | 27.6% | +8.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 10.7% | 18.9% | +8.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 10.6% | 18.7% | +8.1 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 27.6% | 34.5% | +6.9 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 92.0% | 85.4% | −6.6 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 28.1% | 22.6% | −5.5 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 6.8% | 11.7% | +4.9 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 9.1% | 4.3% | −4.8 |
