Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Arsenal with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 1 (before the first match) against those on December 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 19.2% | 9.4% | −9.8 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 26.3% | 35.4% | +9.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 19.1% | 28.1% | +9.0 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 34.8% | 26.0% | −8.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 18.0% | 10.6% | −7.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 16.0% | 9.4% | −6.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 25.5% | 19.4% | −6.1 |
| Watford | Relegation | 66.9% | 72.8% | +6.0 |
| Everton | Relegation | 21.5% | 27.3% | +5.8 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 86.6% | 92.0% | +5.4 |
