Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Burnley with a 20.6% chance and West Ham beat Chelsea with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 25 (before the first match) against those on December 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Relegation | 56.6% | 66.9% | +10.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 77.9% | 70.5% | −7.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 41.9% | 34.8% | −7.0 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 14.7% | 8.1% | −6.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 11.6% | 18.0% | +6.4 |
| Burnley | Europa League | 17.9% | 12.5% | −5.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 16.0% | 21.1% | +5.1 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 84.0% | 89.0% | +5.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 12.8% | 7.8% | −4.9 |
| Everton | Relegation | 16.9% | 21.5% | +4.5 |
