Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Everton with a 9.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 40.1% | 26.7% | −13.4 |
| Watford | Relegation | 46.4% | 56.6% | +10.2 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 86.4% | 76.8% | −9.6 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 76.8% | 84.0% | +7.2 |
| Everton | Relegation | 9.8% | 16.9% | +7.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 84.2% | 77.9% | −6.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 24.1% | 30.3% | +6.2 |
| Burnley | Europa League | 11.9% | 17.9% | +6.0 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 14.6% | 20.1% | +5.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 14.5% | 19.3% | +4.8 |
