Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Aston Villa with a 20.2% chance, Everton beat Fulham with a 23.3% chance, and Queens Park Rangers beat Chelsea with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 44.2% | 62.5% | +18.2 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 31.9% | 18.6% | −13.3 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 31.5% | 21.4% | −10.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 30.3% | 40.1% | +9.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 75.6% | 67.3% | −8.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 37.0% | 44.4% | +7.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 89.3% | 83.3% | −6.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 15.6% | 10.1% | −5.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 33.0% | 27.6% | −5.4 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 7.8% | 12.6% | +4.8 |
