Round 10

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Arsenal beat Chelsea with a 18.8% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ChelseaChampions League67.3%49.8%−17.5
Swansea CityRelegation34.8%22.7%−12.0
NewcastleChampions League27.0%36.0%+9.1
Wigan AthleticRelegation52.5%60.5%+8.0
ArsenalChampions League17.4%24.4%+7.0
ChelseaEuropa League18.3%25.3%+7.0
ChelseaChampion10.1%3.8%−6.3
FulhamRelegation12.6%6.6%−6.0
LiverpoolChampions League27.6%33.4%+5.8
Bolton WanderersRelegation40.1%45.7%+5.6
Home 27.1%
Draw 27.5%
Away 45.4%
Home 58.5%
Draw 22.8%
Away 18.8%
Home 79.6%
Draw 15.9%
Away 4.5%
Home 53.0%
Draw 24.7%
Away 22.4%
Home 46.0%
Draw 27.3%
Away 26.8%
Home 45.6%
Draw 27.4%
Away 27.0%
Home 30.0%
Draw 29.3%
Away 40.7%
Home 34.0%
Draw 32.0%
Away 34.0%
Home 71.3%
Draw 18.5%
Away 10.2%
Home 34.5%
Draw 31.8%
Away 33.7%