Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Wigan Athletic with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 43.8% | 30.3% | −13.5 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 37.5% | 48.9% | +11.4 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 31.9% | 20.8% | −11.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 34.5% | 44.2% | +9.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 40.1% | 31.9% | −8.2 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 28.7% | 36.8% | +8.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 28.8% | 36.7% | +7.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 68.4% | 75.6% | +7.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 18.1% | 11.1% | −7.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 18.0% | 11.5% | −6.4 |
