Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Queens Park Rangers beat Tottenham with a 21.7% chance and West Bromwich Albion beat Liverpool with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 51.3% | 21.8% | −29.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 35.5% | 60.9% | +25.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 64.5% | 39.1% | −25.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 56.8% | 77.2% | +20.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 18.2% | 37.3% | +19.1 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 81.2% | 62.7% | −18.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 16.7% | 33.3% | +16.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 83.3% | 66.7% | −16.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 6.6% | 17.3% | +10.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 91.2% | 94.6% | +3.4 |
