Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Arsenal with a 7.0% chance, Fulham beat Liverpool with a 21.4% chance, and Newcastle beat Chelsea with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 11 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 17.0% | 63.3% | +46.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 83.0% | 36.7% | −46.2 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 34.2% | 0.9% | −33.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 69.1% | 96.0% | +27.0 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 76.8% | 96.9% | +20.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 23.0% | 3.1% | −19.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 61.9% | 77.3% | +15.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 38.1% | 22.7% | −15.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 17.7% | 27.0% | +9.4 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 81.8% | 73.0% | −8.8 |
