Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Newcastle with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 24 (before the first match) against those on April 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 34.9% | 63.2% | +28.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 65.1% | 36.8% | −28.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 37.0% | 12.8% | −24.1 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 63.1% | 87.2% | +24.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 22.5% | 2.3% | −20.3 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 36.4% | 56.4% | +20.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 40.1% | 53.5% | +13.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 59.9% | 46.5% | −13.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 28.5% | 40.9% | +12.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 71.5% | 59.1% | −12.4 |
