Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Tottenham with a 11.2% chance and Wigan Athletic beat Manchester United with a 12.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 8 (before the first match) against those on April 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 59.7% | 34.2% | −25.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 43.7% | 69.1% | +25.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 81.6% | 61.9% | −19.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 18.4% | 38.1% | +19.8 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 55.5% | 38.0% | −17.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 42.4% | 58.3% | +15.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 94.8% | 83.0% | −11.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 5.2% | 17.0% | +11.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 8.6% | 17.7% | +9.1 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 90.3% | 81.8% | −8.6 |
