Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Liverpool with a 8.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 21 (before the first match) against those on March 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Europa League | 54.4% | 75.5% | +21.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 37.8% | 16.9% | −20.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 57.1% | 41.7% | −15.4 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 86.4% | 72.0% | −14.3 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 59.0% | 73.0% | +14.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 57.4% | 69.8% | +12.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 42.6% | 30.2% | −12.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 72.3% | 82.7% | +10.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 21.5% | 12.6% | −9.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 14.2% | 22.8% | +8.6 |
