Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Queens Park Rangers beat Arsenal with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 26 (before the first match) against those on April 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 22.8% | 42.9% | +20.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 69.8% | 85.0% | +15.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 30.2% | 15.1% | −15.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 16.9% | 4.2% | −12.7 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 73.0% | 60.8% | −12.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 41.7% | 31.2% | −10.5 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 75.5% | 85.9% | +10.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 95.3% | 86.3% | −8.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 4.7% | 13.6% | +8.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 89.9% | 98.0% | +8.0 |
