Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Fulham with a 20.1% chance, Queens Park Rangers beat Liverpool with a 24.3% chance, and Bolton Wanderers beat Aston Villa with a 13.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 13 (before the first match) against those on April 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 25.4% | 86.7% | +61.3 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 80.6% | 22.5% | −58.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 51.9% | <0.1% | −51.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 12.7% | 59.9% | +47.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 87.0% | 40.1% | −46.9 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 72.7% | 36.4% | −36.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 1.9% | 37.0% | +35.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 70.8% | 100% | +29.2 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 36.0% | 63.1% | +27.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 79.7% | 94.5% | +14.8 |
