Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Manchester City with a 17.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 4 (before the first match) against those on March 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 43.5% | 24.6% | −18.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 39.5% | 58.2% | +18.7 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 60.4% | 41.8% | −18.7 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 53.2% | 70.8% | +17.6 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 58.4% | 72.6% | +14.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 62.9% | 50.9% | −12.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.2% | 79.6% | +7.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 92.7% | 86.4% | −6.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 7.1% | 13.3% | +6.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 25.9% | 19.8% | −6.0 |
