Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Queens Park Rangers with a 22.8% chance and Swansea City beat West Bromwich Albion with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 1 (before the first match) against those on February 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 61.6% | 42.9% | −18.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 52.9% | 62.1% | +9.2 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 38.8% | 47.4% | +8.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 57.9% | 65.2% | +7.2 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 37.9% | 31.7% | −6.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 43.2% | 49.2% | +6.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 16.8% | 21.9% | +5.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 56.8% | 52.4% | −4.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 19.4% | 15.3% | −4.0 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 34.7% | 38.2% | +3.5 |
