Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Bolton Wanderers with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 6 (before the first match) against those on February 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 21.9% | 39.4% | +17.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 62.1% | 45.6% | −16.5 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 42.9% | 58.0% | +15.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 52.4% | 37.5% | −14.9 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 85.5% | 74.8% | −10.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 38.2% | 48.8% | +10.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 49.2% | 59.7% | +10.5 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 47.4% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 93.0% | 97.9% | +4.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 6.5% | 2.0% | −4.4 |
