Round 23

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Manchester City with a 23.8% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on January 22 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester CityChampion72.1%57.9%−14.1
Manchester UnitedChampion25.1%37.9%+12.7
Blackburn RoversRelegation44.7%52.9%+8.2
ChelseaChampions League63.9%56.8%−7.1
Queens Park RangersRelegation45.7%38.8%−7.0
WolverhamptonRelegation54.9%61.6%+6.7
LiverpoolChampions League13.7%19.4%+5.6
NewcastleEuropa League36.1%41.4%+5.4
NewcastleChampions League8.3%13.0%+4.7
ArsenalChampions League21.5%16.8%−4.7
Home 24.5%
Draw 25.9%
Away 49.6%
Home 78.9%
Draw 16.1%
Away 5.0%
Home 23.9%
Draw 25.5%
Away 50.6%
Home 23.8%
Draw 25.5%
Away 50.8%
Home 73.6%
Draw 17.8%
Away 8.6%
Home 63.7%
Draw 21.0%
Away 15.3%
Home 32.2%
Draw 30.8%
Away 37.0%
Home 22.4%
Draw 24.7%
Away 53.0%
Home 53.9%
Draw 24.3%
Away 21.7%
Home 61.0%
Draw 21.9%
Away 17.1%